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Cake day: July 8th, 2023

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  • I hate it because it’s a gigantic waste of time and resources. Big tech has poured hundreds of billions of dollars, caused double digit percentage increases in data center emissions, and fed almost the entire collective output of humanity into these models.

    And what did we get for it? We got a toy that is at best mildly amusing, but isn’t really all that actually useful for anything; the output provided by generative AI is too unreliable to trust outright and needs to be reviewed and tweaked by hand, so at best you’re getting a minor productivity gain, and more likely you’re seeing a neutral or negative impact on your productivity (or producing low-quality crap faster and calling it “good enough”). At worst, it’s put a massive force multiplier in the hands of the bad actors using disinformation to tear apart modern society for their personal gain. Goldman Sachs released a report in late June where they pointed this out: if tech companies are planning on investing a trillion dollars into AI, what is the trillion dollar problem that AI is going to solve? And so far as I can tell, it seems that the answer to the question is either “it will eliminate millions of jobs and wipe out entire industries without any replacement or safety net, causing untold human suffering” or (more likely to be the case) “there is no trillion dollar problem AI can solve and the entire endeavor is pointless.”

    Even ignoring the opportunity cost–the money spent could have literally solved the entire homelessness crisis, world hunger, lifted entire countries out of poverty, or otherwise funded solutions for real, intractable, pressing problems for all of humanity–even ignoring that generative AI has single-handedly erased years of progress in reducing our C02 emissions and addressing the climate crisis, even ignoring the logistical difficulty of the scale of build-out being discussed requiring a bigger improvement in our power grid than has been done basically ever, even ignoring the concerns over IP theft and everything else, fundamentally generative AI just isn’t worth the hype. It’s the crypto craze and NFT craze and metaverse craze (remember Zuckerberg burning 36 billion to make a virtual meeting space featuring avatars without legs?) all over again, except instead of only impacting the suckers who bought into the hype, this time it’s getting shoved in everybody’s face even if they want nothing to do with it.

    But hey, at least it gave us “I Glued My Balls To My Butthole Again.” That totally makes the hundred billion investment worth it, right?